Wednesday, August 16, 2017

Markets are looking to the Fed on Wednesday

Aug 16, 18:00 GMT, FOMC Minutes: Later today, the FOMC Meeting Minutes will be released and the markets will be looking for any fresh insights on inflation as recent weak inflation data has raised serious doubts about whether the Fed can raise interest rates again during 2017.

These crucial minutes come just one day after July's strong retail sales that suggest that the consumer is not weak and that inflation may start to rise. The retails statistics showed an increase of 0.6 percent in July which are the largest gains in months.

The minutes are expected to paint an optimistic picture and relatively hawkish outlook from the Fed, however the markets do not expect the Fed to be definitive on the inflation question. Moreover, several Fed officials have stated that the central bank can afford to be patient and this has been seen as a message that a third hike maybe delayed for next year.

As this is a highly important event, and considering recent political turmoil in the US, some strong market movements and trading opportunities are expected, however the direction will be defined by the Fed sentiment. 

Follow the latest economical and political events

Thursday, August 10, 2017

North Korean Missile Crisis

Markets fall after Trump threatens North Korea with '"fire and fury"

President Trump has entered into a test of wills with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and it's escalating due to both men's desire to project strong leadership.

Trump has threatened North Korea with "fire and fury" over the communist state continued threats, whilst North Korea have responded with threats to send four missiles toward Guam while ridiculing Trump for spouting "a load of nonsense."

Until now the markets have generally ignored the rising tension, however the recent events have changed, firstly in the last week or so there has been an escalation in rhetoric and the perceived threat level. Second, this scenario is taking place during a stalling in the China-led economic upswing, and this has led to US stocks fell sharply on Tuesday and into Wednesday creating some excellent trading opportunities, which could continue into the coming weeks.

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To take advantage of the current market conditions, please contact our support team for today's special trading offer

Friday, August 4, 2017

Very Strong Report

Non-Farm Payroll beats forecasts

+ 209,000 jobs created, beating forecasts of 180,000
+ Unemployment rate has dipped to 4.3%
+ Wage growth picked up too

As the data is NFP, jobless and Wage growth data is positive, this will give the Fed encouragement to target another rate hike in 2017 as well as reducing Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities in September.

How the market reacted? As a result of impressive nonfarm payrolls report, the US dollar has gained significant strength against all the majors. The EUR/USD fell over 40 pips, GBP/USD dropped 56 pips and USD/JPY gained 67 pips.

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Thursday, August 3, 2017

Dollar under pressure ahead of NFP report

Non Farm Payroll – Aug 04, 12:30 GMT: The usually high impact Non Farm Payroll (NFP) report will be released today. This report is considered a key US economy report and can trigger sharp market movements.

The previous several Non Farm Payroll reports have failed to have their usual impact of causing volatility and influencing the markets as much as traders have been used to in the past. This is because the NFP has become predicable with no surprises; moreover the US dollar is under pressure because of poor economic data and White House controversy.

The Labor Department's employment report on Friday will probably show that non-farm payrolls increased by 183,000 jobs last month after surging 222,000 in June and average hourly earnings should rise to 0.3 percent after gaining 0.2 percent in June. If confirmed it would record the largest increase in five months.

Economists believe that the labour market performance will encourage the Fed to start reducing its $4.2 trillion portfolio of Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities in September.

Any significant changes in expected data or surprises can cause market volatility and excellent trading opportunities, client's are reminded to have enough equity available to trade the Nonfarm Payrolls safely.

For market insights and to monitor this and other high impact economical events, please visit: 

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Tuesday, August 1, 2017

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Tuesday, July 25, 2017

Fed Interest Rate Decision

Dear Traders

Fed Interest Rate Decision - Jul 26, 18:00: A recent survey of 44 high level market participants returned unanimously the assumption that the Fed won't hike interest rates at its meeting this week.

The Trump administration which was meant to take some of the burden off the Fed with new tax policies and regulatory reform and to allow the Fed to renormalize policy faster have failed. Attempts to reform Health Care have been unsuccessful and tax reform is at risk and because of this, the Fed is expected to push back their next rate hike to December from September.

As we head towards the Fed's decision on Interest rates, there's growing concern that the stock market could be set up for a fall as asset markets are very highly priced, investors are complacent and the pre-conditions for a significant correction in markets are falling into place.

As always, the interest rate decision will cause high volatility in the market and the outcome will be a major market driver with trading opportunities.

Best regards,

David Bergman
Yadix Support Team
Yadix Forex Broker
Telephone: +44(0) 20 3239 6117

Thursday, July 20, 2017

ECB Interest Rate Decision

ECB to hold steady this week

Today: Jul 20, 11:45: The European Central Bank interest rate decision is due later this morning. It is expected that the ECB will leave interest rates untouched with many experts expecting the ECB to announce plans to reduce its bond-buying program in September.

The ECB President Mario Draghi's previous speech had been interpreted as a sign that the central bank was more optimistic about the economy and suggested that tapering could start sooner than expected, however since the June speech, the ECB has been tried to reduce expectations to prevent unwanted tightening of conditions.
In the markets, European shares extended gains in early trading on Thursday on the back of active global markets and this, just hours ahead of a highly important policy meeting at the European central bank. STOXX 600 rose 0.3 percent after major U.S. and Asian stock indexes closed Wednesday at record highs as the dotcom's impressed.

As always, we recommend that all clients are aware of high impact economic data releases and prepare for higher than normal market volatility and sharp market movements, should there be any surprise announcements.

You can stay updated with the latest news with the Yadix economical calendar: