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Today the market will
experience several high impact economic data releases as well as the
FOMC minutes, a clear guide for the US interest rate policy.
expect these events to be important for the markets after the effect of
the recent US election, and may cause periods of high volatility.
Client's that plan to trade during these events are encouraged to plan
in advance and fund their accounts accordingly.
High Impact Economic Events November 23 2016:
Be prepared for sharp movements and volatility if any of these events deliver unexpected results.
High Impact Events: On November 17 and 18 2016, the markets will experience the first round of high impact economical events since last week's US election excitement.
The ECB Monetary Policy Meeting is due Nov 17, 12:30 and includes an overview of financial markets, economic and monetary developments within Europe. At 13:30, the Building Permits from the US released and at the same time Initial Jobless Claims from the US is delivered, which is another market mover.
These releases are followed by key speeches, with the Fed's Yellen's insight into the current economic situation in the United States and policies updates at 15:00. Then, on Friday, we have ECB President Draghi's Speech that presents how the ECB observes the current European economy.
The shock of the Trump presidential victory didn't cause the market to react could be expected, as the dollar continued to gain. Tomorrow and Friday could be crucial to its continued strength, or we could see some weakening based on the aforementioned events.
Be prepared for sharp movements and volatility if any of these events deliver unexpected results. Refer to our Economic Calendar for full details.
With the recent political and economic changes, trading opportunities have been presented in the markets that I'd like to share.
I would like to invite you to benefit from a personal one-on-one session with me to discuss how the high impact political, economic and upcoming events of 2016 have led the markets to a level where there are potential opportunities to take advantage of. We have noticed that for the every-day trader, the current market situation is unclear. However upcoming major events (that may surprise the markets) and an insight into how the professionals are approaching the current market volatility may give you a different and valuable perspective for your trading.
Trump has been officially elected as the new President of the
United States of America, after Hillary Clinton conceded defeat.
this morning, according to a popular US news channel, Clinton called Trump to
concede defeat in the presidential race. For many very well respected and
influential political commentators, this result is the most shocking
development in politics for many generations.
the core of this victory is that fact that Trump over-performed in key states
whereas Clinton failed to take advantage of expected supremacy. Losing states
such as Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, North Carolina and more caused too much
damage for Clinton to take office. Furthermore, the republicans also retained
the House of Representatives majority.
the victory speech, Trump commented about Clinton "We owe her a major debt
of gratitude for her debt to our country" and added that he plans to be
the "President of all Americans".
the markets, the coming days should experience risk aversion as the main driver
which of course should see volume shift to safe-haven symbols such as Gold, CHF
and JPY pairs.
within the EU are expected to battle with their own economic and political
agenda's as well as a weaker dollar. Commodities will probably mirror movements
in the stock and Indices markets.
the most of the market movements with our US Election bonuses for today only!
On November 8th 2016, the people of the United States will select their next President. While focus is on the vote, experienced traders will look to the markets, as the election will create high volatility. Candidates, Democratic Hillary Clinton, and Republican Donald Trump, have differing opinions on policy, which stand to affect the markets no matter who takes office.
US Election Effect The markets are fully focussed on the upcoming election with the polls affecting many currencies, for example the Mexican peso reached six-week highs based on the strength that Clinton was leading. However with the FBI’s investigation into Clinton’s emails, her campaign has suffered pushing Trumps popularity higher and Mexican peso has dropped in value. Trump Moves Up As Volatility Returns With less than a week to go before the election, there's been a shift in sentiment and in the latest polls Trump has taken a slight lead, which has been the catalyst for some fairly significant risk-off moves.
The VIX that measures the fears and volatility of the US equity market has jumped to 19 due to this shift. It had been around the 13 level on the expectation that Clinton would win the race for the White House. Also a sell-off on the S&P 500, which has broken important support levels and is trading at its lowest level since July. Either the markets are concerned about a Trump win, or investors are lowering risk to protect against a shock result or higher volatility. Who’s Better For Your Investments? It's considered that a Trump would be better for families who are trying to pass assets to the next generation tax-free, as Trump would end the estate (‘death’) tax. Hillary would be worse for these families, as she would increase estate taxes by double.
Trump would also seem to be better for manufacturing workers, however his planned tariffs on imports could put American manufacturing workers at risk or out of work, as US exports would potentially be reduced in volume. Clinton on the other hand is seen by Wall Street as “more of the same”, the ‘status quo’ candidate would largely continue with Obama’s policies.
Vote for Volatility, Trade the US Election Keep in mind that volatility is expected across USD pairs during the election, and after results are released sharp market movements are expected that offer significant trading opportunities.
Alexandra Miller Yadix Support Team Yadix Forex Broker Telephone: +44(0) 20 3239 6117 E-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org Skype: yadix.forex